Using a gravity model, this article presents an analysis of aggregate trade flows aimed at identifying China's impact on Latin America's trade. The results obtained indicate that: i) China's growth in the last years implied a growing supply of exports to this market from most countries in the World, including that of Latin American countries; ii) at the aggregate level, there was no indication that Chinese exports to third markets were crowding out LAC exports to those countries; and iii) a positive relationship between imports from China and exports to third markets was only found for the Southern Cone countries.
Bilateral trade, Gravity model, Poisson regression, China, Latin America
Montenegro, C. E., Pereira, M., & Soloaga, I. (2016). China’s effect on Latin America’s international trade. Estudios De Economía, 38(2), pp. 341–368. Retrieved from https://estudiosdeeconomia.uchile.cl/index.php/EDE/article/view/39439